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THE COLES METHOD
(of Forecasting Earthquakes)
Reflected, Refracted and Diffused Initial/Main Earthquake Signals
Most studies on seismology, earthquakes, and the earth’s surface only address the earth’s core, mantle, and the surface upon which we live. A few astute scientists have included the inhomogeneous atmosphere which is also very much a part of the planet surrounded by the vacuum of space
When a shallow or large earthquake occurs, sound traveling through the air has been recorded near the epicenter. Much like a loud noise from behind a wall, we tend to focus on the opening from which the sound is the strongest, when the actual origin of the sound may be in a completely different direction. We are only hearing the sound which is emerging from the opening, not from where it actually originated.
In the same way, the propagation of radio waves, Initial and Main earthquake signals tend to exit the earth’s surface at the point of least resistance. If the fault is covered by water or solid surface, the piezoelectric discharge created by the rock being crushed at the hypo-center will not exit at the epicenter most of the time. These emissions will travel along the fault lines until they reach an outlet, the point of least resistance.
A good illustration of this would be the wall previously mentioned with a flashbulb lighting off on the opposite side while we are focusing on the opening. We might be able to detect that a flash has happened, but we would not be able to accurately assess exactly where it had happened. However, if a mirror had previously been placed at the opening at the correct angle, a “reflected flash”, or signal would be seen at the opening. The same thing happens with radar and other types of radio signals.
In seismic evaluation, several wave arrivals, called “phases”, are reflected, refracted and/or diffused. The waves then appear on various seismographs at various times and with different signatures, depending on the location of the receiver.
While the Northridge, California earthquake in 1994 is a good example of an “other-than-epicenter” discharge, the 9.2 magnitude Sumatra earthquake in 2004 is the best example we can examine. Due to the “wall of water” and the earth mass, the energy reflected of “hot-spots” of future faulting areas.
On December 10-11, 2004, multiple large signals, both Initial and Main, came out of the Sumatra region, including New Zealand, Australia, and Indonesia. One clear Main signal recorded on the web-site Syzygyjob.com the next day (December 12th) read “far off the coast of New Zealand, magnitude eight point range”.
On December 15, 2004, nine days before the event at 3 AM, another set of signals started the countdown to an 8.1 magnitude earthquake which happened 261 miles off of the coast of New Zealand. On December 18, 2004, a major set of signals unexpectedly blasted out of the north, with a rating over 8 points. Its amplitude overshadowed the echoes (phases) that give distance by reflection, refraction and diffusion.
The warning then went out for the exact date of December 26, 2004 for a great quake to the west, using only one point of observation. One might say that 2 out of 3 aren’t bad. However, the forecasted area pointed to the reflection and a future “hot-spot” in Alaska, not the epicenter nor the hypo-center.
In the years to come, these anomalies will be better identified by adding one or more radio earthquake listening stations. We will then not be caught looking toward reflected faults from only one perspective. Starting from the date of the first Main signals on December 10, 2004, through the secondary Main signals on the 15th and 18th, (for the region including Sumatra, focusing on the date of December 26, 2004 at the sixteen-day and nine-day warnings), would have given us a successfully pinpointed multiple forecast using the COLES METHOD.
The same type of very large reflected signals happened on March 17, 2007. The Main signals came from the south and were thought to originate in the area from Mexico through South America because of the signal strength (6.5 to 7.5+). On April 2, 2007, an 8.1 magnitude and multiple 6.0 magnitude quakes happened off of the Solomon Islands. This caused a tsunami and an island was elevated ten feet, exposing the coral which had previously been below the surf. The following weeks highlighted the previously mentioned “hot-spots” when a 6.2 magnitude quake rattled Mexico City and a volcano blew its top after 500 dormant years in Neiva, Colombia.
Additional stations would give us hypo-centers when triangulated.
Revised 4/09
(of Forecasting Earthquakes)
Reflected, Refracted and Diffused Initial/Main Earthquake Signals
Most studies on seismology, earthquakes, and the earth’s surface only address the earth’s core, mantle, and the surface upon which we live. A few astute scientists have included the inhomogeneous atmosphere which is also very much a part of the planet surrounded by the vacuum of space
When a shallow or large earthquake occurs, sound traveling through the air has been recorded near the epicenter. Much like a loud noise from behind a wall, we tend to focus on the opening from which the sound is the strongest, when the actual origin of the sound may be in a completely different direction. We are only hearing the sound which is emerging from the opening, not from where it actually originated.
In the same way, the propagation of radio waves, Initial and Main earthquake signals tend to exit the earth’s surface at the point of least resistance. If the fault is covered by water or solid surface, the piezoelectric discharge created by the rock being crushed at the hypo-center will not exit at the epicenter most of the time. These emissions will travel along the fault lines until they reach an outlet, the point of least resistance.
A good illustration of this would be the wall previously mentioned with a flashbulb lighting off on the opposite side while we are focusing on the opening. We might be able to detect that a flash has happened, but we would not be able to accurately assess exactly where it had happened. However, if a mirror had previously been placed at the opening at the correct angle, a “reflected flash”, or signal would be seen at the opening. The same thing happens with radar and other types of radio signals.
In seismic evaluation, several wave arrivals, called “phases”, are reflected, refracted and/or diffused. The waves then appear on various seismographs at various times and with different signatures, depending on the location of the receiver.
While the Northridge, California earthquake in 1994 is a good example of an “other-than-epicenter” discharge, the 9.2 magnitude Sumatra earthquake in 2004 is the best example we can examine. Due to the “wall of water” and the earth mass, the energy reflected of “hot-spots” of future faulting areas.
On December 10-11, 2004, multiple large signals, both Initial and Main, came out of the Sumatra region, including New Zealand, Australia, and Indonesia. One clear Main signal recorded on the web-site Syzygyjob.com the next day (December 12th) read “far off the coast of New Zealand, magnitude eight point range”.
On December 15, 2004, nine days before the event at 3 AM, another set of signals started the countdown to an 8.1 magnitude earthquake which happened 261 miles off of the coast of New Zealand. On December 18, 2004, a major set of signals unexpectedly blasted out of the north, with a rating over 8 points. Its amplitude overshadowed the echoes (phases) that give distance by reflection, refraction and diffusion.
The warning then went out for the exact date of December 26, 2004 for a great quake to the west, using only one point of observation. One might say that 2 out of 3 aren’t bad. However, the forecasted area pointed to the reflection and a future “hot-spot” in Alaska, not the epicenter nor the hypo-center.
In the years to come, these anomalies will be better identified by adding one or more radio earthquake listening stations. We will then not be caught looking toward reflected faults from only one perspective. Starting from the date of the first Main signals on December 10, 2004, through the secondary Main signals on the 15th and 18th, (for the region including Sumatra, focusing on the date of December 26, 2004 at the sixteen-day and nine-day warnings), would have given us a successfully pinpointed multiple forecast using the COLES METHOD.
The same type of very large reflected signals happened on March 17, 2007. The Main signals came from the south and were thought to originate in the area from Mexico through South America because of the signal strength (6.5 to 7.5+). On April 2, 2007, an 8.1 magnitude and multiple 6.0 magnitude quakes happened off of the Solomon Islands. This caused a tsunami and an island was elevated ten feet, exposing the coral which had previously been below the surf. The following weeks highlighted the previously mentioned “hot-spots” when a 6.2 magnitude quake rattled Mexico City and a volcano blew its top after 500 dormant years in Neiva, Colombia.
Additional stations would give us hypo-centers when triangulated.
Revised 4/09